A message expressing an opinion based on incomplete evidence.
synonyms: conjecture, guess, hypothesis, supposition, surmisal, surmise.
Roget 156:
chance,
indetermination,
accident,
fortune,
hazard,
hap,
haphazard,
chance medley,
random,
luck,
raccroc†,
casualty,
contingence,
adventure,
hit;
fate
etc.
(necessity)
601;
equal chance;
lottery;
tombola†;
toss up
etc.
621;
turn of the table,
turn of the cards;
hazard of the die,
chapter of accidents,
fickle finger of fate;
cast of the dice,
throw of the dice;
heads or tails,
flip of a coin,
wheel of Fortune;
sortes†,
sortes Virgilianae†.
probability,
possibility,
odds;
long odds,
run of luck;
accidentalness;
main chance,
odds on,
favorable odds.
contingency,
dependence
(uncertainty)
475;
situation
(circumstance)
8.
statistics,
theory of Probabilities,
theory of Chances;
bookmaking;
assurance;
speculation,
gaming
etc.
621.
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Roget 441:
vision,
sight,
optics,
eyesight.
view,
look,
espial†,
glance,
ken [Scot.],
coup d'oeil [Fr.];
glimpse,
glint,
peep;
gaze,
stare,
leer;
perlustration†,
contemplation;
conspection†,
conspectuity†;
regard,
survey;
introspection;
reconnaissance,
speculation,
watch,
espionage,
espionnage [Fr.],
autopsy;
ocular inspection,
ocular demonstration;
sight-seeing.
point of view;
gazebo,
loophole,
belvedere,
watchtower.
field of view;
theater,
amphitheater,
arena,
vista,
horizon;
commanding view,
bird's eye view;
periscope.
visual organ,
organ of vision;
eye;
naked eye,
unassisted eye;
retina,
pupil,
iris,
cornea,
white;
optics,
orbs;
saucer eyes,
goggle eyes,
gooseberry eyes.
short sight
etc.
443;
clear sight,
sharp sight,
quick sight,
eagle sight,
piercing sight,
penetrating sight,
clear glance,
sharp glance,
quick glance,
eagle glance,
piercing glance,
penetrating glance,
clear eye,
sharp eye,
quick eye,
eagle eye,
piercing eye,
penetrating eye;
perspicacity,
discernment;
catopsis†.
eagle,
hawk;
cat,
lynx;
Argus†.
evil eye;
basilisk,
cockatrice [Myth.].
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Roget 463:
experiment;
essay
etc.
(attempt)
675;
analysis
etc.
(investigation)
461;
screen;
trial,
tentative method,
t=atonnement.
verification,
probation,
experimentum crucis [Lat.],
proof,
(demonstration)
478;
criterion,
diagnostic,
test,
probe,
crucial test,
acid test,
litmus test.
crucible,
reagent,
check,
touchstone,
pix†;
assay,
ordeal;
ring;
litmus paper,
curcuma paper†,
turmeric paper;
test tube;
analytical instruments
etc.
633.
empiricism,
rule of thumb.
feeler;
trial balloon,
pilot balloon,
messenger balloon;
pilot engine;
scout;
straw to show the wind.
speculation,
random shot,
leap in the dark.
analyzer,
analyst,
assayist†;
adventurer;
experimenter,
experimentist†,
experimentalist;
scientist,
engineer,
technician.
subject,
experimentee†,
guinea pig,
experimental animal.
[experimental method]
protocol,
experimental method,
blind experiment,
double-blind experiment,
controlled experiment.
poll,
survey,
opinion poll.
epidemiological survey [Med.],
retrospective analysis,
retrospective survey,
prospective survey,
prospective analysis;
statistical analysis.
literature search,
library research.
tryout,
audition.
[results of experiment]
discovery
etc.
480;
measurement
etc.
466;
evidence
etc.
467.
[reasoning about an experiment]
deduction,
induction,
abduction.
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Roget 514:
supposition,
assumption,
assumed position,
postulation,
condition,
presupposition,
hypothesis,
blue sky hypothesis,
postulate,
postulatum [Lat.],
theory;
thesis,
theorem;
data;
proposition,
position;
proposal
etc.
(plan)
626;
presumption
etc.
(belief)
484;
divination.
conjecture;
guess,
guesswork,
speculation;
rough guess,
shot,
shot in the dark [Coll.];
conjecturality†;
surmise,
suspicion,
sneaking suspicion;
estimate,
approximation
(nearness)
197.
inkling,
suggestion,
hint,
intimation,
notion,
impression;
bare supposition,
vague supposition,
loose supposition,
loose suggestion.
association of ideas,
(analogy)
514.1;
metonym [Gramm.],
metonymy [Gramm.],
simile
(metaphor)
521.
conceit,
idea,
thought;
original idea,
invention
(imagination)
515.
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Roget 794:
barter,
exchange,
scorse†,
truck system;
interchange
etc.
148.
a Roland for an Oliver;
quid pro quo;
commutation,
composition;
Indian gift [U.S.].
trade,
commerce,
mercature†,
buying and selling,
bargain and sale;
traffic,
business,
nundination†,
custom,
shopping;
commercial enterprise,
speculation,
jobbing,
stockjobbing†,
agiotage†,
brokery†.
deal,
dealing,
transaction,
negotiation,
bargain.
free trade.
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Roget 799a:
stock market,
stock exchange,
securities exchange;
bourse,
board;
the big board,
the New York Stock Exchange;
the market,
the open market;
over-the-counter market;
privately traded issues.
commodities exchange,
futures exchange,
futures market.
the pit,
the floor.
ticker,
stock ticker,
quotation;
stock index,
market index,
the Dow Jones Index,
the Dow Industrials,
the transportation index,
utilities,
the utilities index;
the New York Stock Exchange index,
the Nikkei index [Jap.Tr.];
the Financial Times index,
the FTI [Brit.],
the over-the-counter index,
NASDAQ index.
[person or firm trading securities]
broker,
stockbroker,
jobber,
stock dealer,
odd-lot dealer;
specialist.
[person who buys or sells stocks]
investor,
speculator,
operator;
bull,
buyer;
bear,
short seller;
scalper,
arbitrager†,
arbitrageur†;
stockholder,
share-holder,
stockholder of record;
bond holder,
coupon-clipper [Sarc.].
investment;
speculation.
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Roget 840:
amusement,
entertainment,
recreation,
fun,
game,
fun and games;
diversion,
divertissement;
reaction,
solace;
pastime,
passetemps [Fr.],
sport;
labor of love;
pleasure
etc.
827.
relaxation;
leisure
etc.
685.
fun,
frolic,
merriment,
jollity;
joviality,
jovialness†;
heyday;
laughter
etc.
838;
jocosity,
jocoseness†;
drollery,
buffoonery,
tomfoolery;
mummery,
pleasantry;
wit
etc.
842;
quip,
quirk.
[verbal expressions of amusement: list]
giggle,
titter,
snigger,
snicker,
crow,
cheer,
chuckle,
shout;
horse laugh,
belly laugh,
hearty laugh;
guffaw;
burst of laughter,
fit of laughter,
shout of laughter,
roar of laughter,
peal of laughter;
cachinnation†;
Kentish fire;
tiger.
play;
game,
game at romps;
gambol,
romp,
prank,
antic,
rig,
lark,
spree,
skylarking,
vagary,
monkey trick,
gambade,
fredaine†,
escapade,
echappee [Fr.],
bout,
espieglerie [Fr.];
practical joke
etc.
(ridicule)
856.
dance;
hop,
reel,
rigadoon†,
saraband†,
hornpipe,
bolero,
ballroom dance;
[ballroom dances: list],
minuet,
waltz,
polka,
fox trot,
tango,
samba,
rhumba,
twist,
stroll,
hustle,
cha-cha;
fandango,
cancan;
bayadere†;
breakdown,
cake-walk,
cornwallis [U.S.],
break dancing;
nautch-girl;
shindig [U.S.];
skirtdance†,
stag dance,
Virginia reel,
square dance;
galop†,
galopade†;
jig,
Irish jig,
fling,
strathspey†;
allemande [Fr.];
gavot†,
gavotte,
tarantella;
mazurka,
morisco†,
morris dance;
quadrille;
country dance,
folk dance;
cotillon,
Sir Roger de Coverley;
ballet
etc.
(drama)
599;
ball;
bal,
bal masque,
bal costume;
masquerade;
Terpsichore.
festivity,
merrymaking;
party
etc.
(social gathering)
892;
blowout [U.S.],
hullabaloo,
hoedown,
bat [U.S.],
bum [U.S.],
bust [Slang],
clambake [U.S.],
donation party [U.S.],
fish fry [U.S.],
jamboree [Slang],
kantikoy†,
nautch†,
randy,
squantum [U.S.],
tear [Slang],
Turnerfest†,
yule log;
fete,
festival,
gala,
ridotto†;
revels,
revelry,
reveling;
carnival,
brawl,
saturnalia,
high jinks;
feast,
banquet
etc.
(food)
298;
regale,
symposium,
wassail;
carouse,
carousal;
jollification,
junket,
wake,
Irish wake,
picnic,
fete champetre [Fr.],
regatta,
field day;
treat.
round of pleasures,
dissipation,
a short life and a merry one,
racketing,
holiday making.
rejoicing
etc.
838;
jubilee
etc.
(celebration)
883.
bonfire,
fireworks,
feu-de-joie,
firecracker.
holiday;
gala day,
red letter day,
play day;
high days and holidays;
high holiday,
Bank holiday;
May day,
Derby day;
Saint Monday,
Easter Monday,
Whit Monday;
Bairam†;
wayz-goos†,
bean feast;
Arbor Day,
Declaration Day,
Independence Day,
Labor Day,
Memorial Day,
Thanksgiving Day;
Mardi gras [Fr.],
mi-careme [Fr.],
feria [Lat.],
fiesta.
place of amusement,
theater;
hall,
concert room,
ballroom,
assemblyroom†;
music hall.
park,
plaisance†;
national park,
national forest,
state park,
county park,
city park,
vest-pocket park,
public park
(public)
737.1;
arbor;
garden
etc.
(horticulture)
371;
pleasure ground,
playground,
cricketground,
croquet ground,
archery ground,
hunting ground;
tennis court,
racket court;
bowling alley,
green alley;
croquet lawn,
rink,
glaciarum†,
skating rink;
roundabout,
merry-go-round;
swing;
montagne Russe [Fr.].
game of chance,
game of skill.
athletic sports,
gymnastics;
archery,
rifle shooting;
tournament,
pugilism
etc.
(contention)
720;
sports
etc.
622;
horse racing,
the turf;
aquatics
etc.
267;
skating,
sliding;
cricket,
tennis,
lawn tennis;
hockey,
football,
baseball,
soccer,
ice hockey,
basketball;
rackets,
fives,
trap bat and ball,
battledore and shuttlecock,
la grace;
pall-mall,
tipcat†,
croquet,
golf,
curling,
pallone†,
polo,
water polo;
tent pegging;
tilting at the ring,
quintain [Mediev.];
greasy pole;
quoits,
horseshoes,
discus;
rounders,
lacrosse;
tobogganing,
water polo;
knurr and spell†.
[childrens' games]
leapfrog,
hop skip and jump;
mother may I;
French and English,
tug of war;
blindman's bluff,
hunt the slopper†,
hide and seek,
kiss in the ring;
snapdragon;
cross questions and crooked answers. ;
crisscross,
hopscotch;
jacks,
jackstones†,
marbles;
mumblety-peg,
mumble-the-peg,
pushball,
shinney,
shinny,
tag
&c.;
billiards,
pool,
pingpong,
pyramids,
bagatelle;
bowls,
skittles,
ninepins,
kain†,
American bowls†;
tenpins [U.S.],
tivoli.
cards,
card games;
whist,
rubber;
round game;
loo,
cribbage,
besique†,
euchre,
drole†,
ecarte [Fr.],
picquet†,
allfours†,
quadrille,
omber,
reverse,
Pope Joan,
commit;
boston,
boaston†;
blackjack,
twenty-one,
vingtun [Fr.];
quinze [Fr.],
thirty-one,
put,
speculation,
connections,
brag,
cassino†,
lottery,
commerce,
snip-snap-snoren†,
lift smoke,
blind hookey,
Polish bank,
Earl of Coventry,
Napoleon,
patience,
pairs;
banker;
blind poker,
draw poker,
straight poker,
stud poker;
bluff,
bridge,
bridge whist;
lotto,
monte,
three-card monte,
nap,
penny-ante,
poker,
reversis†,
squeezers,
old maid,
fright,
beggar-my-neighbor;
baccarat.
[cards: list]
ace,
king,
queen,
knave,
jack,
ten,
nine,
eight,
seven,
six,
five,
four,
trey,
deuce;
joker;
trump,
wild card.
[card suits: list]
spades,
hearts,
clubs,
diamonds;
major suit,
minor suit.
bower;
right bower,
left bower;
dummy;
jackpot;
deck.
[hands at poker: list]
pair,
two pair,
three of a kind,
straight,
flush,
full-house,
four of a kind,
royal flush;
misere
&c..
[board games: list]
chess,
draughts,
checkers,
checquers,
backgammon,
dominos,
merelles†,
nine men's morris,
go bang,
solitaire;
game of fox and goose;
monopoly;
loto
&c.;
[word games: list],
scrabble,
scribbage,
boggle,
crossword puzzle,
hangman.
morra†;
gambling
etc.
(chance)
621.
toy,
plaything,
bauble;
doll
etc.
(puppet )
554;
teetotum†;
knickknack
etc.
(trifle)
643;
magic lantern
etc.
(show)
448;
peep show,
puppet show,
raree show,
gallanty show†;
toy shop;
quips and cranks and wanton wiles, nods and becks quips and cranks and wanton wiles, nods and becks and wreathed smiles"
[Milton].
entertainer,
showman,
showgirl;
dancer,
tap dancer,
song-and-dance man;
vaudeville act;
singer;
musician
etc.
416.
sportsman,
gamester,
reveler;
master of ceremonies,
master of revels;
pompom girl†;
arbiter elegantiarum [Lat.];
arbiter bibendi [Lat.],
archer,
fan [U.S.],
toxophilite†,
turfman†.
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Dutch: vermoeden, denk, giswerk, speculatie
Polish: spekulacyjka